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From the Forecasting Research Institute
marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/10/from-the-forecasting-research-institute.htmlWhen will AI forecasters match top human forecasters at predicting the future? In a recent @cowenconvos podcast episode, @NateSilver538 said 10–15 years while @tylercowen predicted 1–2 years. Who was right? Our updated AI forecasting benchmark, ForecastBench, suggests that Tyler Cowen is…
This story appeared on marginalrevolution.com, 2025-10-09 16:02:38.